Leaving aside the crucial issue of vote fraud, and looking only at the “official” count, as of Wednesday evening, Nov. 4, Trump and Biden have (unofficially) 248 electoral votes apiece, with Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16) and Nevada (6) still to be tabulated. (This assumes that Trump gets Georgia (16) and North Carolina (15), and Biden gets Wisconsin (10) and Arizona (11) — even though all four are close and could change.) The 270 level will be reached, most likely, by a candidate winning two of the three states (PA, MI, NV) in play. There are irregularities all over the place, including the irregular handling of mail-in voting.
Wisconsin: Biden’s 0.6% margin calls for a legal recount, which Trump will do.
Arizona: Assuming about 400-450,000 votes to be tabulated, Trump will have a difficult time overcoming the present 92,000 gap, but it is possible.
Georgia: Trump leads by 38,000 votes with, as of 7:30 pm, 149,350 votes to count. Biden would have to snag around 94,000 of those votes to pass Trump.
