Sergei Kiriyenko, the first Deputy Chief of Staff of the Presidential Executive Office, hit the nail on the head yesterday in discussing the false axiomatic assumptions underlying the consistent failure of Western forecasts about what would happen to Russia during the war with Ukraine. They forecast economic collapse, which didn’t happen. And they predicted there would be millions of anti-Putin protesters in the street, which also didn’t happen. The problem is that they depend on mathematic extrapolations, which do not explain actually human behavior, Kiriyenko stated yesterday, speaking to the Municipal Dialogue marathon organized by the National Association for the Development of Local Government.
Readers will recognize that Kiriyenko’s comment echoes Lyndon LaRouche’s lifelong insistence that mathematics axiomatically fails to explain the physical universe we live in, most especially human social conduct. Before LaRouche, Bernhard Riemann stated in his 1854 Habilitation Dissertation that true science requires departing the field of mathematics and entering that of physics.
Kiriyenko, who was Russia’s Prime Minister in 1998 and then head of the Rosatom nuclear agency from 2007 to 2016, stated: “This is not just a hot war against Russia, but also an economic war, and an absolutely unprecedented one. … An informational and psychological war is being waged, but those who unleashed it, bet on the wrong horse. Now they admit that their belief that the Russian economy would collapse has fallen flat on its face.”
Kiriyenko then explains the source of the failure: “There are good analysts in the West, one wonders why they are so grossly mistaken. They’re not wrong, they’re just trying to judge Russians by themselves. They’re good at math, but it’s just not math. And the way people in Russia come together and unite when there is a threat to the country, when we have to defend our homeland, when we have to defend our people in Donbass and New Russia, it is not mathematical, that is why no analysts and supercomputers can calculate it,” Kiriyenko stressed. (https://tass.com/politics/1576209)
