The EU Commission wants to cut CO2 emissions by 55% by the year 2030. This is a purely utopian goal, which cannot be achieved. Take for instance motor vehicles, the source of 28% of total greenhouse gas emission. Let us imagine that this is cut by 55%, by replacing 55% of the total 63 million motor vehicles in Germany with electric vehicles (EVs).
In order to do that, some 35 million EV should be sold in the next decade, an average of 3.5 million per year. Currently, 63,321 EVs are sold yearly in Germany, 2% of the total. At the current rate, EU targets for 2030 will be achieved in 50 years, and the 2050 target (zero carbon) in 100 years.
The EU target for 2030 can be achieved only by increasing yearly sales of EVs by 5,500%!
This is a purely arithmetic exercise, without considering the costs of infrastructure and, above all of increasing electricity production in order to fuel all those cars. Calculating the latter, Germany should build one giant windmill per EV over the next ten years!
In fact, assuming a monthly consumption of 282 kwh per EV on average, Germany should produce additional 11-12 TWh electricity per year. Assuming that it comes from “renewables,” as the EU wants, they should build one giant windmill per EV sold (3,285 MWh/yr) each year for the next ten years.
